The ledger
Strategy posts and trader track records from the prediction-market hype machine, re-derived from what actually resolved. 5 entries on file.
Whale file
Whale file: Threadbare-Skunk — $1,073,422 up across 42 large resolved bets
Lucky, so far
Whale file
Whale file: Dishonest-Bloom — $3,507,478 down across 87 large resolved bets
Bleeding
Claim check
The "steel nerves" weather trader: a real premium, a 2-sigma record, and a copytrade button
Unproven
Claim check
The "4-minute leader" crypto-candle strategy, tested at real prices: both lanes lose
Debunked
Claim check
We audited the "Top 5 weather market legends." The lottery-ticket story is false for every one of them
Debunked